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Iga Swiatek vs Varvara Gracheva Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Swiatek vs Gracheva analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Iga Swiatek vs Varvara Gracheva Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Swiatek 1 - 0 Gracheva

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Swiatek has won 55.66% of points on their second serve, while Gracheva has won 49.26%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Swiatek, in recent form, has won 61% of their opponent's second serve points, while Gracheva has won 53.66%. The same stats for first serve returns are 42.55% and 37% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Swiatek has saved 69.64% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Gracheva has saved 54.95% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Swiatek has won 89.66% of matches played (W/L 78/ 9), with Gracheva winning 48.21% (W/L 27/ 29) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Swiatek has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 89% (W/L 132/ 17), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 70% (W/L 16/ 7). Gracheva has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 142/ 71), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 38% (W/L 3/ 5).
  • Player level: In the last year, Swiatek has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 91.67% of matches (W/L 44/ 4), where as Gracheva has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 43.48% of matches (W/L 10/ 13). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Swiatek winning 1 times and Gracheva being victorious 0 times. They have played 2 sets in total, with Swiatek winning 2 and Gracheva winning 0. The last match between Swiatek and Gracheva was at the China Open - Beijing, 03-10-2023, Second, Hard with Iga Swiatek getting the victory 6-4 6-1.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:20:21.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Swiatek and Gracheva have played a deciding set 0 times, with Swiatek winning 0 times and Gracheva 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Swiatek winning 0, and Gracheva 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Swiatek has played against opponents with an average rank of 73.56 while Gracheva has played against players with an average rank of 163.82.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Swiatek has won 63% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Gracheva has won 69% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Swiatek has converted 47.9% of breakpoint opportunities, and Gracheva has converted 46.46% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Iga Swiatek

30

Total

11

Mast

3

Chall

5

Slam

7

Main

4

Minor

1

Rank

1

High

23

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

0

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

71

Rank

39

High

23

Age

R

Plays

Varvara Gracheva

7

Total

0

Mast

5

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

2

Minor

1

Total

0

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W W W W W W W W W

Form

W L W W W L W W W L

82% (330-71)

Career Total W/L

59% (254-179)

92% (45-4)

YTD W/L

54% (19-16)

$26,143,556

Career Prize Money

$2,055,175

6

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Swiatek VS Gracheva H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Iga Swiatek Varvara Gracheva
All H2H Matches 1 0
Sets Won 2 0
Games Won 12 5
Aces (Total) 2 1
DFs (Total) 0 2
Avg Match Time 1:20:21 1:20:21
1st Serve % 68% (30/44) 50% (29/58)
1st Serve Win% 73% (22/30) 66% (19/29)
2nd Serve Win% 64% (9/14) 34% (10/29)
BPs Won% (Total) 56% (5/9) 100% (1/1)
Return Points W% 50% (29/58) 30% (13/44)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (1/0)

Swiatek VS Gracheva H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-1
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Varvara Gracheva
68% ( 30 of 44)
1st Serve %
50% ( 29 of 58)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
73% ( 22 of 30)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 19 of 29)
64% ( 9 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 10 of 29)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
30% ( 13 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 29 of 58)
60
Total Points Won
42

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Iga Swiatek Varvara Gracheva
YTD W/L 92% (45/4) 54% (19/16)
Sets Win/Loss 87% (92/14) 50% (39/39)
Games Win/Loss 66% (604/309) 50% (345/350)
Hard Win/Loss 88% (22/3) 33% (4/8)
Clay Win/Loss 95% (21/1) 68% (15/7)
Indoor Hard W/L 100% (2/0) 0% (0/1)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.15 0.13
Aces Total 67 44
DFs per game 0.16 0.25
DFs Total 69 85
Avg Match Time 1:36:8 1:32:45
Avg Opp Rank 67.35 191.34
1st Serve % 67% (1959/2931) 67% (1497/2242)
1st Serve W% 69% (1361/1959) 59% (888/1497)
2nd Serve W% 56% (541/972) 49% (367/745)
BPs Won% Total 48% (217/453) 46% (118/254)
Return Pts W% 50% (1514/3040) 44% (988/2270)
Slam W/L 90% (9/1) 67% (4/2)
Masters W/L 93% (27/2) 45% (5/6)
Cups W/L 100% (2/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 88% (7/1) 54% (7/6)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 60% (3/2)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 92% (45/49) 53% (18/34)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 83% (5/6) 50% (2/4)
Deciding Set W% 75% (6/8) 78% (7/9)
1st set W, W 98% (43/42) 100% (14/14)
1st set W, L 2% (43/1) 0% (14/0)
1st set L, W 50% (6/3) 24% (21/5)

Iga Swiatek Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
F
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Jasmine Paolini
62% ( 26 of 42)
1st Serve %
67% ( 31 of 46)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
69% ( 18 of 26)
1st Serve Won
39% ( 12 of 31)
69% ( 11 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 13 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
61% ( 28 of 46)
57
Total Points Won
31
W
6-2 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Cori Gauff
67% ( 42 of 63)
1st Serve %
51% ( 32 of 63)
0
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
4
64% ( 27 of 42)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 22 of 32)
67% ( 14 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 10 of 31)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
35% ( 22 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 31 of 63)
72
Total Points Won
54
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Marketa Vondrousova
67% ( 26 of 39)
1st Serve %
62% ( 31 of 50)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
4
88% ( 23 of 26)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 15 of 31)
46% ( 6 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 6 of 19)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 10 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
58
Total Points Won
31
W
6-0 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Anastasia Potapova
59% ( 16 of 27)
1st Serve %
39% ( 12 of 31)
3
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
94% ( 15 of 16)
1st Serve Won
25% ( 3 of 12)
82% ( 9 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
21% ( 4 of 19)
75% ( 6 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
11% ( 3 of 27)
Rtn Points Won
77% ( 24 of 31)
48
Total Points Won
10
W
6-0 6-0 H2H
R3
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Marie Bouzkova
63% ( 31 of 49)
1st Serve %
72% ( 42 of 58)
2
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
3
74% ( 23 of 31)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 25 of 42)
67% ( 12 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
29% ( 14 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 28 of 58)
63
Total Points Won
44
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Naomi Osaka
60% ( 69 of 115)
1st Serve %
62% ( 67 of 108)
0
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
4
65% ( 45 of 69)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 49 of 67)
48% ( 22 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 17 of 41)
20% ( 3 of 15)
Break Points Won
56% ( 5 of 9)
42% ( 48 of 115)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 42 of 108)
109
Total Points Won
114
W
7-6(1) 1-6 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Leolia Jeanjean
73% ( 27 of 37)
1st Serve %
57% ( 26 of 46)
1
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
2
78% ( 21 of 27)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 12 of 26)
50% ( 5 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 6 of 20)
100% ( 6 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
30% ( 11 of 37)
Rtn Points Won
61% ( 28 of 46)
54
Total Points Won
29
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
54% ( 31 of 57)
1st Serve %
59% ( 32 of 54)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
74% ( 23 of 31)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 18 of 32)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
32% ( 18 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 27 of 54)
66
Total Points Won
45
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Cori Gauff
65% ( 36 of 55)
1st Serve %
54% ( 45 of 83)
1
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
72% ( 26 of 36)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 29 of 45)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 14 of 38)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
35% ( 19 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 40 of 83)
76
Total Points Won
62
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
75% ( 48 of 64)
1st Serve %
56% ( 23 of 41)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
71% ( 34 of 48)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 14 of 23)
56% ( 9 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 10)
33% ( 21 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 19 of 41)
62
Total Points Won
43
W
6-1 6-3 H2H

Varvara Gracheva Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R4
cross
Mirra Andreeva
Player
Varvara Gracheva
54% ( 34 of 63)
1st Serve %
68% ( 44 of 65)
5
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
1
71% ( 24 of 34)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 21 of 44)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 11 of 21)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
37% ( 23 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 33 of 65)
73
Total Points Won
55
L
7-5 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Varvara Gracheva
Player
Irina-Camelia Begu
68% ( 47 of 69)
1st Serve %
82% ( 45 of 55)
0
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
60% ( 28 of 47)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 26 of 45)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
42% ( 29 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 27 of 55)
67
Total Points Won
57
W
7-5 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Varvara Gracheva
Player
Bernarda Pera
76% ( 32 of 42)
1st Serve %
54% ( 25 of 46)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
59% ( 19 of 32)
1st Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
70% ( 7 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 7 of 21)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
38% ( 16 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
61% ( 28 of 46)
54
Total Points Won
34
W
6-1 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Varvara Gracheva
Player
Maria Sakkari
67% ( 63 of 94)
1st Serve %
51% ( 46 of 91)
3
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
6
56% ( 35 of 63)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
68% ( 21 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 18 of 45)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
27% ( 4 of 15)
40% ( 38 of 94)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 42 of 91)
98
Total Points Won
87
W
3-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Diana Shnaider
Player
Varvara Gracheva
64% ( 45 of 70)
1st Serve %
76% ( 47 of 62)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
82% ( 37 of 45)
1st Serve Won
49% ( 23 of 47)
40% ( 10 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
80% ( 12 of 15)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
33% ( 23 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 27 of 62)
74
Total Points Won
58
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Varvara Gracheva
Player
Katie Boulter
77% ( 51 of 66)
1st Serve %
51% ( 35 of 68)
1
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
7
65% ( 33 of 51)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 23 of 35)
53% ( 8 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 14 of 33)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
38% ( 25 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 31 of 68)
72
Total Points Won
62
W
6-3 7-6(6) H2H
R2
cross
Varvara Gracheva
Player
Katie Volynets
64% ( 57 of 89)
1st Serve %
75% ( 74 of 99)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
1
58% ( 33 of 57)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 43 of 74)
56% ( 18 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
43% ( 38 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 45 of 99)
96
Total Points Won
92
W
2-6 6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Varvara Gracheva
Player
Ana Bogdan
75% ( 12 of 16)
1st Serve %
67% ( 12 of 18)
0
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
0
58% ( 7 of 12)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 7 of 12)
100% ( 4 of 4)
2nd Serve Won
0% ( 0 of 6)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
31% ( 5 of 16)
Rtn Points Won
61% ( 11 of 18)
22
Total Points Won
12
W
4-0 ret. H2H
R2
cross
Maria Sakkari
Player
Varvara Gracheva
56% ( 34 of 61)
1st Serve %
72% ( 38 of 53)
3
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
68% ( 23 of 34)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
67% ( 18 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 8 of 15)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
33% ( 20 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 27 of 53)
68
Total Points Won
46
L
6-2 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Varvara Gracheva
Player
Federica Di Sarra
67% ( 33 of 49)
1st Serve %
66% ( 29 of 44)
0
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
4
76% ( 25 of 33)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 15 of 29)
44% ( 7 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 4 of 15)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
35% ( 17 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 25 of 44)
57
Total Points Won
36
W
6-1 6-3 H2H

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